Abstract:
This research was undertaken to investigate the probable impact of upstream storage
and diversion works on Barak river by India on a selected wetland area in the Surma
and Kushiyara basin. Three scenarios of flow regulation chosen for analysis include:
(i) average year flow without Tipaimukh dam, (ii) average year flow with Tipaimukh
dam, and (iii) average year flow with Tipaimukh dam and Fulertal barrage. The
Chunia beel wetland area and the Kakura kIwi, providing one major connectivity with
the Surma river were chosen for detailed analysis. Through field visits on-site
knowledge about the existing connectivity between the river system and wetland has
been gathered. Also information about agriculture and fisheries were obtained.
One-dimensional model simulation was performed for the average hydrologic year
with the above three scenarios. The effect of upstream dam and barrage on annual
peak flows and seasonal hydro graphs was analyzed. Two-dimensional model
simulation was used to determine the changes in the extent and depth of flooding in
the river basin. Changes in land type, that is how the inundation area of larger depths
changes to a shallowcr depths and the consequent effect on cropping pattern and
fisheries were studied for the selected bee I wet land area
Due to the Tipaimukh Dam the peak flow in Surma river is likely to decrease by about
15% with about 3% decrease in the peak water level. The corresponding decrease .in
the peak flow and water level in Kakura khal connecting the Surma and Chaunia beel
will be about 32% and 3%, respectively. This causes reduction in the ,extent of
flooding in the river basin as discussed below. In the pre-monsoon season, for Kakura
khal water level shows an increase of 0.73 m in the first week of April causing a
reversal of flow from the river to the khal. Similar reversal of now is observed in the
second and fourth week of May. This may be due to pre-monsoon release from the
reservoir to make room for flood storage. In the post-monsoon discharge decreases in
a fluctuating manner in the first two weeks of October, then increases in the third
week of the month, and thereafter a slight increase in discharge is observed for the
rest of the period. In the dry season discharge increases slightly probably due to
release for hydropower generation showing an increase in water level ranging from
0.7 m to 0.69 m.
As to the extent of flooding in the river basin, it is seen that in the post-dam situation,
the extent of inundation shows a decrease by about 60% in pre-monsoon, 22.5% in
IV
monsoon and 63% in post-monsoon season. For the barrage in addition to the dam no
further change in inundation extent was evident from the simulation results. Also
there will be some redistribution of Fa, F I, etc. land types. In the pre-monsoon season
area of Fa land type shows an increase of about 18% whereas F I, F2, F3 areas
decrease by 46, 76, 93% respectively and F4 type disappears. This means that the
deeply flooded area decreases. Some additional changes in land types due to the effect
of barrage in addition to the dam were seen to occur. Fa and FI land areas show a
slight increase, F2 shows a slight decrease, and F3 and F4 types do not, change. In
monsoon Fa and F2 land areas increase by about 11a and 39%, respectively, but F2,
F3 and F4 areas decrease by 29, 49, and 97%, respectively due to dam. On the other
hand areas under all land types exhibit decrease by amounts ranging from 54 to 82%.
For the barrage in addition to the dam, Fa area slightly decreases, Fl type slightly
increases and the other land classes remain unchanged.
Finally, the changes in land type, cropping pattern and fisheries in the selected bee I
wetland were analyzed. Results of simulation indicate that some modification in land
type in the selected Clmnia bee I wetland area in monsoon is likely to take place due to
dam. Fa land type remains unchanged, F2 type decreases by about 17%, F3 type
disappears, and FI appears which was nonexistent before. However in pre- and postmonsoon
seasons, no change in land type is indicated. Obviously due to change in
land type there will be some change in cropping pattern. Area under local Boro may
reduce, some areas may become suitable for broadcast and HYV Aus and Rabi crop.
This provides some indication about the qualitative changes in cropping pattern but
evaluation of the changes in the amount of production could not be done within the
scope of this study. As the deep water area is likely to be reduced, survival of fish
requiring such habitat will be difficult. Habitat type for carp, catfish, and eel fish
species may be reduced.
River and flood plain flow simulation performed in this study were based on an
assumed inflow hydro graph at Amalshid based on preliminary information available
from some reports. No statement was available as to how much water is proposed to
be stored or diverted by the Tipaimukh dam and/or the Fulertal barrage. There is
much scope to improve this type of analysis if information about the operating rules
and flow regulation become available.